[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 07 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                07 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 07 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 007, 01/07/08
10.7 FLUX=071.2  90-AVG=073        SSN=014      BKI=4433 4122  BAI=016
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4423 3012  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,075;SESC:080,080,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,007,005/010,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,007   27DAY-KP=3233 2333 2333 1002
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 06 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 07 JAN 08 are: 4- 4- 2+ 3-   3+ 0+ 1- 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 07 JAN 08 are:  22  22   9  12  18   2   3   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 07 JAN is: 3.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.2,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  Region 980 (S06W03) produced a
       C1 x-ray flare today at 1527Z. The group appears to be re-emerging
       but is still small and simple. An eruptive event was observed near
       plage region 981 (N27W17) at about 0230Z and was associated with a
       B1 x-ray event as well as a small cme observed by the coR2
       coronagraph on the stereo-b spacecraft.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low for the next three days (08-10 january).

            The geomagnetic field was predominantly unsettled to active during
       the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed remained elevated throughout the
       day due to the continuing influence of a high speed stream. The
       greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
       high levels during the past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for isolated active
       periods for the first day (08 january). Conditions are expected to
       decline to quiet to unsettled for the second day (09 january) and
       are expected to be quiet for the third day (10 january).

            Event probabilities 08 jan-10 jan

                             Class M    05/05/05
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 08 jan-10 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/25/10
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/25/10
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 07/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0980 S06W03   232  0020 Dso  03   04 Beta
0981 N27W17   246                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 08 Jan to 10 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 07 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **