[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                08 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 008, 01/08/08
10.7 FLUX=071.1  90-AVG=073        SSN=016      BKI=2333 2332  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2322 1442  PAI=013
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A2.2   @ 1150UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0515UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=007,005,005/007,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,004   27DAY-KP=2333 1002 1211 1010
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 08 JAN 08 are: 2- 3- 2+ 2+   1o 4o 4o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 JAN 08 are:   6  12   9   9   4  27  27   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 JAN is: 5.6E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.1,    70.9 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
       the last 24 hours. Region 980 (S08W23) decayed throughout the
       period.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled during the past
       24 hours. Solar wind speeds remain elevated but are slowly
       declining. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
       orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the first day (09 january).
       Conditions should be predominantly quiet for the second and third
       days (10-11 january)

            Event probabilities 09 jan-11 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 jan-11 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 08/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0980 S08W23   239  0020 Axx  04   06 Alpha
0981 N27W30   246                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 09 Jan to 11 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **