[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                10 JANUARY, 2008

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 10 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 010, 01/10/08
10.7 FLUX=069.4  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=2112 1111  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2001 1101  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,070;SESC:075,075,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,012/005,005,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,001   27DAY-KP=0102 0010 0000 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 09 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 10 JAN 08 are: 2- 0+ 0o 1-   1+ 1- 0+ 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 10 JAN 08 are:   6   2   0   3   5   3   2   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 10 JAN is: 7.9E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.5,    69.4,    69.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
       over the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet for 11-12 january.  Unsettled to
       isolated active conditions are expected on 13 january as a recurrent
       coronal hole becomes geoeffective.

            Event probabilities 11 jan-13 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 11 jan-13 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/20
                        Minor storm           05/05/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/25
                        Minor storm           05/05/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 10/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0980 S08W49   239                    Plage
0981 N27W56   246                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 11 Jan to 13 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 10 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **