[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                11 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 011, 01/11/08
10.7 FLUX=076.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=0111 0201  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1011 0011  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,070,070;SESC:075,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,012,008/015,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=001,002   27DAY-KP=0000 0001 1000 0002
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 11 JAN 08 are: 1+ 0+ 1- 1-   0o 0o 1- 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 JAN 08 are:   5   2   3   3   0   0   3   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 JAN is: 7.7E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev proton flux
       at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions on 12-13
       january due to a recurrent coronal hole.  Conditions are expected to
       be predominately unsettled for 14 january.

            Event probabilities 12 jan-14 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 jan-14 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/15
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/20
                        Minor storm           20/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 11/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0980 S08W62   239                    Plage
0981 N27W69   246                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 12 Jan to 14 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **