[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 12 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                12 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 12 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 012, 01/12/08
10.7 FLUX=076.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=0112 2422  BAI=007
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0011 2432  PAI=009
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,070;SESC:075,075,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,008,010/015,010,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,017   27DAY-KP=1000 0002 2244 4424
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 11 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 12 JAN 08 are: 0o 0o 1- 1o   2- 4+ 3o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 12 JAN 08 are:   0   0   3   4   6  32  15   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 12 JAN is: 5.5E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.  The visible solar
       disk remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active conditions.  Solar wind
       speeds at ace have steadily increased through the period starting
       around 380 km/s at 12/0440Z and ending with speeds of 500 km/s at
       forecast time.  The increase in velocity along with the temperature
       and density trends observed, is indicative of a coronal hole high
       speed stream.  The greater than 2 mev electron flux at
       geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be predominantly unsettled with isolated active
       conditions for 13-15 january, due to continued influence of the high
       speed stream.

            Event probabilities 13 jan-15 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 13 jan-15 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/15
                        Minor storm           15/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/20
                        Minor storm           20/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 12/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0980 S08W75   239                    Plage
0981 N27W82   246                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 13 Jan to 15 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 12 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **