[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 13 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                13 JANUARY, 2008

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 13 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 013, 01/13/08
10.7 FLUX=075.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=3232 4431  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3221 3332  PAI=011
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,070,070;SESC:075,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,012,012/015,015,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=017,018   27DAY-KP=2244 4424 3434 4233
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 12 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 13 JAN 08 are: 3- 2o 2- 1+   3+ 3o 3+ 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 13 JAN 08 are:  12   7   6   5  18  15  18   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 13 JAN is: 1.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active. The high speed stream
       that began yesterday was briefly interrupted during this period. 
       The solar wind at ace reached approximately 590 km/s at 2300Z
       yesterday before declining to 450 km/s from 0800Z until 1400Z.  This
       slack period was accompanied by increased density and decreased
       temperature.  At 1400Z, these trends all reversed and the wind speed
       leveled off at approximately 550 km/s by 1600Z.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled to active at mid latitudes with a chance
       for minor storm periods at high latitudes.  Data from stereo-behind
       suggest a continued increase in solar wind speed through day 2 (15
       jan) reflecting the continued influence of the coronal hole high
       speed stream.

            Event probabilities 14 jan-16 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 14 jan-16 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/25
                        Minor storm           15/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/25
                        Minor storm           20/20/20
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 13/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0980 S08W88   239                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 14 Jan to 16 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 13 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **