[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                14 JANUARY, 2008

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 014, 01/14/08
10.7 FLUX=075.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=3234 3333  BAI=015
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3334 3333  PAI=016
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,070,070;SESC:075,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=014,012,007/015,012,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=018,008   27DAY-KP=3434 4233 2422 2122
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 JAN 08 are: 3o 3- 3- 4+   3o 3- 3+ 3o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 JAN 08 are:  15  12  12  32  15  12  18  15 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 JAN is: 3.5E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remains
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels under the
       influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Solar wind
       speed at ace reached 750 km/s during the period.  The greater than 2
       mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to remain at unsettled to active levels with isolated storm
       periods at high latitudes on days 1 and 2 (15-16 jan).  The high
       speed stream is expected to depart on day 3 (17 jan) and activity
       levels should diminish to quiet to unsettled.

            Event probabilities 15 jan-17 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 jan-17 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/20
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/15
                        Minor storm           20/20/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 15 Jan to 17 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **