[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 18 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                18 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 18 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 018, 01/18/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=4342 2322  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3331 2322  PAI=010
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,006   27DAY-KP=1221 2232 2222 2102
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 17 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 18 JAN 08 are: 3o 3- 3- 1+   2+ 3o 2o 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 18 JAN 08 are:  15  12  12   5   9  15   7   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 18 JAN is: 1.5E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remains
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated active
       periods at middle latitudes.  Solar wind speed remains elevated at
       greater than 600 km/s due to the continued influence of a
       geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with the continued possibility of
       isolated active periods for 19 january.  The geomagnetic field
       should abate to quiet to unsettled for 20 january and then quiet for
       21 january as the high speed stream rotates from its geoeffective
       position.

            Event probabilities 19 jan-21 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 19 jan-21 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/10
                        Minor storm           10/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/15
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 18/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 19 Jan to 21 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 18 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **