[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 01 July
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Jul 2 22:31:44 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
01 JULY, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 01 JULY, 2008
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NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 183, 07/01/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0 90-AVG=068 SSN=000 BKI=2221 2201 BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=2221 2102 PAI=005
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,007,010/005,008,012
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=004,002 27DAY-KP=2110 1102 1001 0111
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 JUN 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 01 JUN 08 are: 2+ 2- 2- 1o 2o 1- 0+ 2-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 01 JUN 08 are: 9 6 6 4 7 3 2 6
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 01 JUL is: 3.1E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
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Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours and the solar disk remains spotless. A
small, six degree filament near N53W40 disappeared sometime between
30/1811Z and 01/0542Z.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the first day (02 july). An increase to
quiet to unsettled is expected on the second day (03 july) and
predominantly unsettled conditions are expected to prevail on the
third day (04 july). The increase is expected because of a recurrent
high speed solar wind stream.
Event probabilities 02 jul-04 jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 02 jul-04 jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 10/15/20
Minor storm 05/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/20/25
Minor storm 05/10/20
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 01/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 02 Jul to 04 Jul
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 01 JULY, 2008
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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