[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 01 July

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Jul 2 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  01 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 01 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 183, 07/01/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=2221 2201  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2221 2102  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,007,010/005,008,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,002   27DAY-KP=2110 1102 1001 0111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 JUN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 01 JUN 08 are: 2+ 2- 2- 1o   2o 1- 0+ 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 01 JUN 08 are:   9   6   6   4   7   3   2   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 01 JUL is: 3.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
       during the past 24 hours and the solar disk remains spotless. A
       small, six degree filament near N53W40 disappeared sometime between
       30/1811Z and 01/0542Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the first day (02 july). An increase to
       quiet to unsettled is expected on the second day (03 july) and
       predominantly unsettled conditions are expected to prevail on the
       third day (04 july). The increase is expected because of a recurrent
       high speed solar wind stream.

            Event probabilities 02 jul-04 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 02 jul-04 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/15/20
                        Minor storm           05/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/20/25
                        Minor storm           05/10/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 01/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 02 Jul to 04 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 01 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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