[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 02 July
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Jul 3 22:31:44 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
02 JULY, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 02 JULY, 2008
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NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 184, 07/02/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0 90-AVG=068 SSN=000 BKI=1111 2121 BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=2100 1011 PAI=003
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=007,010,007/005,008,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=002,008 27DAY-KP=1001 0111 1222 1223
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 01 JUL 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 02 JUL 08 are: 2- 1- 0+ 0+ 1- 0+ 1o 1+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 02 JUL 08 are: 6 3 2 2 3 2 4 5
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 02 JUL is: 3.2E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the first day (03 july). An increase
to mostly unsettled levels is expected late on the first day or on
the second day (04 july) due to recurrence. Activity is expected to
return to predominantly quiet levels on the third day (05 july).
Event probabilities 03 jul-05 jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 03 jul-05 jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/20/15
Minor storm 10/15/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/25/20
Minor storm 10/20/10
Major-severe storm 01/05/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 02/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 03 Jul to 05 Jul
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 02 JULY, 2008
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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