[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 02 July

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Jul 3 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  02 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 02 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 184, 07/02/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=1111 2121  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2100 1011  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=007,010,007/005,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,008   27DAY-KP=1001 0111 1222 1223
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 01 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 02 JUL 08 are: 2- 1- 0+ 0+   1- 0+ 1o 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 02 JUL 08 are:   6   3   2   2   3   2   4   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 02 JUL is: 3.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
       the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet for the first day (03 july). An increase
       to mostly unsettled levels is expected late on the first day or on
       the second day (04 july) due to recurrence. Activity is expected to
       return to predominantly quiet levels on the third day (05 july).

            Event probabilities 03 jul-05 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 03 jul-05 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/20/15
                        Minor storm           10/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/25/20
                        Minor storm           10/20/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 02/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 03 Jul to 05 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 02 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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