[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 03 July

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Jul 4 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  03 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 03 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 185, 07/03/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=1111 2311  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 1211  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,012   27DAY-KP=1222 1223 2233 2333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 02 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 03 JUL 08 are: 1+ 1- 0o 0+   1+ 2+ 1+ 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 03 JUL 08 are:   5   3   0   2   5   9   5   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 03 JUL is: 3.8E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet to unsettled conditions for 04 july due to a
       recurrent pattern.  Quiet levels are expected for 05-06 july.

            Event probabilities 04 jul-06 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 04 jul-06 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 03/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 04 Jul to 06 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 03 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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