[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 July

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Jul 9 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  08 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 190, 07/08/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=1001 1111  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1000 0112  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,008,015/005,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,003   27DAY-KP=1111 1211 1001 1111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 08 JUL 08 are: 1- 0o 0o 0+   0+ 1- 1- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 JUL 08 are:   3   0   0   2   2   3   3   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 JUL is: 5.4E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
       during the past 24 hours, and the visible disk remained spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet on day one (09 july). An increase to unsettled
       conditions is expected on day two (10 july), with active conditions
       possible at high latitudes, due to a recurrent co-rotating
       interaction region. Unsettled to active conditions are expected on
       day three (11 july), with isolated minor storm periods possible as a
       coronal hole high speed stream rotates into a geoeffective position.

            Event probabilities 09 jul-11 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 jul-11 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/15/25
                        Minor storm           01/05/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/25/30
                        Minor storm           01/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 08/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 09 Jul to 11 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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