[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 July
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Jul 9 22:31:44 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
08 JULY, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 JULY, 2008
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NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 190, 07/08/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0 90-AVG=068 SSN=000 BKI=1001 1111 BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1000 0112 PAI=002
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,008,015/005,010,015
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=004,003 27DAY-KP=1111 1211 1001 1111
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 JUL 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 08 JUL 08 are: 1- 0o 0o 0+ 0+ 1- 1- 2-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 JUL 08 are: 3 0 0 2 2 3 3 6
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 JUL is: 5.4E+06
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours, and the visible disk remained spotless.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day one (09 july). An increase to unsettled
conditions is expected on day two (10 july), with active conditions
possible at high latitudes, due to a recurrent co-rotating
interaction region. Unsettled to active conditions are expected on
day three (11 july), with isolated minor storm periods possible as a
coronal hole high speed stream rotates into a geoeffective position.
Event probabilities 09 jul-11 jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 jul-11 jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/15/25
Minor storm 01/05/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/25/30
Minor storm 01/10/15
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 08/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 09 Jul to 11 Jul
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 JULY, 2008
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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