[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 July

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Jul 11 22:31:43 GMT 2008


                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  10 JULY, 2008

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 10 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 192, 07/10/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=1001 2211  BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1001 1212  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,015,012/015,020,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,016   27DAY-KP=1000 0111 0100 1355
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 09 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 10 JUL 08 are: 1o 0o 0o 1o   1o 2o 1- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 10 JUL 08 are:   4   0   0   4   4   7   3   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 10 JUL is: 4.7E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.  The visible solar
       disk remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at unsettled to active levels for 11-12 july with a
       chance for isolated minor storm conditions possible due to a coronal
       hole high speed stream.  Activity levels for 13 july is expected to
       be mostly unsettled levels with a chance for isolated active
       periods.

            Event probabilities 11 jul-13 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 11 jul-13 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/30/25
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/35/30
                        Minor storm           15/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/10/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 10/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 11 Jul to 13 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 10 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


More information about the Finalsolar mailing list