[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 July
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Jul 11 22:31:43 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
10 JULY, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 10 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 192, 07/10/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0 90-AVG=068 SSN=000 BKI=1001 2211 BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1001 1212 PAI=004
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,015,012/015,020,015
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=003,016 27DAY-KP=1000 0111 0100 1355
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 09 JUL 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 10 JUL 08 are: 1o 0o 0o 1o 1o 2o 1- 2-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 10 JUL 08 are: 4 0 0 4 4 7 3 6
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 10 JUL is: 4.7E+06
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity has been very low. The visible solar
disk remains spotless.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels for 11-12 july with a
chance for isolated minor storm conditions possible due to a coronal
hole high speed stream. Activity levels for 13 july is expected to
be mostly unsettled levels with a chance for isolated active
periods.
Event probabilities 11 jul-13 jul
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 11 jul-13 jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 25/30/25
Minor storm 15/15/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/35/30
Minor storm 15/20/15
Major-severe storm 05/10/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 10/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 11 Jul to 13 Jul
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 10 JULY, 2008
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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