[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  11 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 193, 07/11/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=067        SSN=000      BKI=1121 2224  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1111 2123  PAI=007
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,012,010/020,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=016,020   27DAY-KP=0100 1355 4543 3233
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 11 JUL 08 are: 1+ 1o 1+ 1+   2o 1o 2+ 3o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 JUL 08 are:   5   4   5   5   7   4   9  15 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 JUL is: 2.0E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
       in the past 24 hours.  The visible solar disk remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.  Solar wind signatures
       observed at ace are indicating the onset of a high speed stream from
       a recurrent coronal hole.  The velocity has showed a steady increase
       from around 340 to 450 km/s, and the imf bz component has ranged
       from +/- 7 nt.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at unsettled to active levels with a chance for
       isolated minor storm conditions at high latitudes for 13 july. 
       Predominately unsettled conditions are expected for 14-15 july as
       the high speed stream continues to be geoeffective.

            Event probabilities 12 jul-14 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 jul-14 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/25/20
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/30/25
                        Minor storm           20/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 11/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 12 Jul to 14 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **