[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 12 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  12 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 12 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 194, 07/12/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=067        SSN=000      BKI=3544 3322  BAI=020
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3554 3322  PAI=021
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,010,008/015,010,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=020,013   27DAY-KP=4543 3233 3223 2344
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 11 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 12 JUL 08 are: 3o 5o 5- 4o   3o 3- 2- 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 12 JUL 08 are:  15  48  39  27  15  12   6   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 12 JUL is: 4.3E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible solar disk
       remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm conditions. 
       The ace solar wind signatures indicate the increase in activity is
       due to a coronal hole high speed stream.  Solar wind velocity 
       increased steadily through the last 24 hour period with speeds
       averaging around 615 km/s at report time.  The imf bz also
       fluctuated from -10 nt to +13 nt during the period.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be predominantly at unsettled levels with isolated
       periods of active conditions for 13-14 july.  Quiet to unsettled
       conditions are expected for 15 july.

            Event probabilities 13 jul-15 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 13 jul-15 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/25/20
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 12/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 13 Jul to 15 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 12 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **