[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  14 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 196, 07/14/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=067        SSN=000      BKI=2233 2323  BAI=011
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2233 2323  PAI=010
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,008/010,005,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=009,009   27DAY-KP=3232 2222 3322 2102
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 JUL 08 are: 2o 2+ 3- 3-   2+ 3- 2- 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 JUL 08 are:   7   9  12  12   9  12   6  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 JUL is: 3.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remained
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The recurrent coronal
       hole high speed stream remained geoeffective.  Solar wind speed
       measured at the ace spacecraft ranged from approximately 650 km/s to
       730 km/s.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled on day 1 (15 july), becoming quiet on day 2
       (16 july). Activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 3
       (17 july).

            Event probabilities 15 jul-17 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 jul-17 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/05/15
                        Minor storm           05/01/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/20
                        Minor storm           05/01/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 15 Jul to 17 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **