[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 17 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  17 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 17 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 199, 07/17/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=067        SSN=000      BKI=2211 2232  BAI=007
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2211 1121  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=011,005   27DAY-KP=3432 1223 2111 1112
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 16 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 17 JUL 08 are: 2+ 2- 1- 1-   1- 1o 2+ 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 17 JUL 08 are:   9   6   3   3   3   4   9   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 17 JUL is: 4.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remained
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.  Solar wind
       speed, as measured at the ace spacecraft, indicated a gradual
       decrease in velocities from about 530 km/s at the beginning of the
       period, to near 460 km/s by forecast issue time.  The greater than 2
       mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (18 - 20 july).

            Event probabilities 18 jul-20 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 18 jul-20 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 17/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 18 Jul to 20 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 17 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **