[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 18 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  18 JULY, 2008

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 18 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 200, 07/18/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=066        SSN=011      BKI=2222 2221  BAI=006
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2221 2111  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=005,004   27DAY-KP=2111 1112 1100 1112
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 17 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 18 JUL 08 are: 2- 2- 2- 1-   2- 1o 1+ 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 18 JUL 08 are:   6   6   6   3   6   4   5   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 18 JUL is: 4.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  New region 1000
       (S13E24) was numbered during the period.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels.  Solar wind speed,
       as measured at the ace spacecraft, continued its gradual decrease in
       velocities from about 460 km/s at the beginning of the period, to
       about 350 km/s by forecast issue time.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (19 - 21 july).

            Event probabilities 19 jul-21 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 19 jul-21 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 18/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
1000 S13E24   177  0010 Hrx  01   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 19 Jul to 21 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 18 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **