[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 20 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  20 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 20 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 202, 07/20/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=067        SSN=011      BKI=1111 1111  BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1000 0111  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,010,015/008,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,004   27DAY-KP=1200 1101 1100 0123
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 19 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 20 JUL 08 are: 1+ 0+ 0o 0o   0+ 1+ 1+ 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 20 JUL 08 are:   5   2   0   0   2   5   5   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 20 JUL is: 3.9E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 1000
       (S12W05) remained quiet and stable.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled all three days of the
       forecast period (21 - 23 july) with isolated active periods possible
       on day three.  The forecasted increase in activity is a result of a
       recurrent coronal hole high speed stream that is expected to rotate
       into a geoeffective position.

            Event probabilities 21 jul-23 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 21 jul-23 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/45
                        Minor storm           05/05/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/50
                        Minor storm           05/10/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 20/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
1000 S12W05   179  0010 Axx  01   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 21 Jul to 23 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 20 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **