[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 22 July

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  22 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 22 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 204, 07/22/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=067        SSN=000      BKI=1223 3334  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1122 3234  PAI=011
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,010,005/015,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,016   27DAY-KP=4331 1233 4424 3232
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 21 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 22 JUL 08 are: 1o 1+ 2- 2o   3o 2+ 3- 4o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 22 JUL 08 are:   4   5   6   7  15   9  12  27 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 22 JUL is: 2.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during 
       the past 24 hours. Region 1000 (S12W31) is spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind data at
       ace indicated the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream. Solar
       wind velocity increased significantly at about 1300Z to values
       ranging from 580-630 km/s.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled to active during day one (23 july), mostly
       unsettled on day two (24 july), and quiet on day three (25 july).
       The increase in activity is expected due to effects from the
       recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.

            Event probabilities 23 jul-25 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 23 jul-25 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/20/10
                        Minor storm           15/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                50/25/10
                        Minor storm           20/10/01
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 22/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
1000 S12W31   179                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 23 Jul to 25 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 22 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **