[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 23 July

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Jul 24 22:31:45 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  23 JULY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 23 JULY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 205, 07/23/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=067        SSN=000      BKI=3543 3323  BAI=019
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3432 3333  PAI=016
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:066,066,066;SESC:066,066,066 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,005,005/010,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=016,008   27DAY-KP=4424 3232 3222 2222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 22 JUL 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 23 JUL 08 are: 3o 4+ 3+ 2+   3o 3o 3- 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 23 JUL 08 are:  15  32  18   9  15  15  12  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 23 JUL is: 4.5E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 1000 (S12W44) is
       spotless.  No flares occurred during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels.  The solar
       wind speed continues elevated to a range of 620 to 650 km/s.  The
       greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
       levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly unsettled during day one (24 july), and quiet
       on days two and three (25, 26 july).  The effects of the high speed
       stream from the coronal hole should diminish during the latter part
       of the forecast period.

            Event probabilities 24 jul-26 jul

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 24 jul-26 jul

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/05
                        Minor storm           05/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/05
                        Minor storm           05/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 23/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
1000 S12W44   179                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 24 Jul to 26 Jul
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 23 JULY, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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