[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 31 May

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Jun 1 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  31 MAY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 31 MAY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 152, 05/31/08
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=071        SSN=000      BKI=2122 3322  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1222 3222  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:068,068,068;SESC:068,068,068 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/010,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,011   27DAY-KP=1233 1222 2230 2332
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 MAY 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 30 MAY 08 are: 4- 1- 0o 1-   2+ 3+ 4- 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 MAY 08 are:  22   3   0   3   9  18  22   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 31 MAY is: 1.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible solar disk
       remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind velocities
       have remained elevated with speeds between 550 - 600 km/s.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with a chance for
       isolated active periods, for day one (01 june).  Quiet to unsettled
       conditions are expected for day two (02 june), with predominately
       quiet levels expected for day three (03 june).

            Event probabilities 01 jun-03 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 jun-03 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/25/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 31/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0997 S08W66   183                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 01 Jun to 03 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 31 MAY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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