[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 31 May
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Jun 1 22:31:44 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
31 MAY, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 31 MAY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 152, 05/31/08
10.7 FLUX=067.0 90-AVG=071 SSN=000 BKI=2122 3322 BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1222 3222 PAI=008
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:068,068,068;SESC:068,068,068 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/010,008,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=008,011 27DAY-KP=1233 1222 2230 2332
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 MAY 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 30 MAY 08 are: 4- 1- 0o 1- 2+ 3+ 4- 2+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 MAY 08 are: 22 3 0 3 9 18 22 9
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 31 MAY is: 1.3E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. The visible solar disk
remains spotless.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind velocities
have remained elevated with speeds between 550 - 600 km/s.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels, with a chance for
isolated active periods, for day one (01 june). Quiet to unsettled
conditions are expected for day two (02 june), with predominately
quiet levels expected for day three (03 june).
Event probabilities 01 jun-03 jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 jun-03 jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 05/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/25/10
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
0997 S08W66 183 Plage
Regions Due to Return 01 Jun to 03 Jun
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 31 MAY, 2008
--------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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