[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  14 JUNE, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 JUNE, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 166, 06/14/08
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=000      BKI=1011 3335  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0100 1355  PAI=016
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A4.6   @ 2331UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.2   @ 2324UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,010,012/008,010,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,008   27DAY-KP=1101 2101 3213 2211
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 JUN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 JUN 08 are: 1- 0+ 1- 1-   2- 3+ 5- 5+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 JUN 08 are:   3   2   3   3   6  18  39  56 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 JUN is: 1.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 998
       (S10W01) decayed to spotless plage.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels.  A
       co-rotating interaction region was observed at the ace spacecraft
       around 14/1200Z.  Wind speeds began climbing soon thereafter to end
       the period at just below 550 km/s, with the interplanetary magnetic
       field bz component ranging between +13 and -17 nt.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for the forecast period
       (15 to 17 june).  There is a chance for active conditions and a
       slight chance for isolated minor storm periods all three days due to
       a coronal hole high speed stream rotating into a geoeffective
       position.

            Event probabilities 15 jun-17 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 jun-17 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/20/25
                        Minor storm           05/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/20/25
                        Minor storm           05/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0998 S10W01   292                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 15 Jun to 17 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 JUNE, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **