[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 15 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  15 JUNE, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 15 JUNE, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 167, 06/15/08
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=000      BKI=4544 2333  BAI=022
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4543 3233  PAI=020
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A3.1   @ 0001UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0034UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,012,012/015,012,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,010   27DAY-KP=3213 2211 2231 2323
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 14 JUN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 15 JUN 08 are: 4o 5o 4- 3o   3- 2o 3- 3o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 15 JUN 08 are:  27  48  22  15  12   7  12  15 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 15 JUN is: 1.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at mostly unsettled to minor storm levels. 
       Solar wind signatures indicating a co-rotating interaction region
       followed by the onset of a coronal hole high speed stream were
       observed by the ace spacecraft.  Wind speed reached a maximum of
       about 700 km/s at 15/1610Z.  The interplanetary magnetic field bz
       component ranged between +/- 13 nt during the early part of the
       summary period; for the remainder of the period bz ranged between
       +/-6 nt.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at unsettled to active levels on day one (16 june),
       with a chance for minor storm conditions possible due to the coronal
       hole high speed stream.  On days two and three (17 and 18 june)
       expect activity levels to decrease to mostly unsettled levels with a
       chance for active periods as the high speed stream continues to be
       geoeffective.

            Event probabilities 16 jun-18 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 16 jun-18 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                35/25/25
                        Minor storm           20/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/25/25
                        Minor storm           20/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 15/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0998 S10W14   292                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 16 Jun to 18 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 15 JUNE, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **