[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 17 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  17 JUNE, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 17 JUNE, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 169, 06/17/08
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=011      BKI=4333 2223  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3232 2222  PAI=009
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,008/012,010,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=013,009   27DAY-KP=3433 2213 3211 2333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 16 JUN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 17 JUN 08 are: 3+ 2+ 3- 2o   2o 2- 2o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 17 JUN 08 are:  18   9  12   7   7   6   7   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 17 JUN is: 2.7E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 999 (S02E46) has
       shown little change from yesterday and remains a single spot alpha
       magnetic classification.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active conditions.  Solar wind
       velocities, as measured at the ace satellite, averaged around 680
       km/s with a peak speed of 784 km/s at 17/0248 utc.  The greater than
       2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
       again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled levels with a chance
       for isolated active conditions for the next three days (18-20 june).

            Event probabilities 18 jun-20 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 18 jun-20 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/35/35
                        Minor storm           15/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 17/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0999 S02E46   205  0020 Hsx  01   01 Alpha
0998 S10W40   292                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 18 Jun to 20 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 17 JUNE, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **