[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 19 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  19 JUNE, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 19 JUNE, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 171, 06/19/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=011      BKI=2112 3222  BAI=007
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2111 2123  PAI=006
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:065,065,065;SESC:065,065,065 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=010,007   27DAY-KP=2201 3233 3112 2212
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 18 JUN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 19 JUN 08 are: 2- 1- 1o 1+   2o 1o 2o 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 19 JUN 08 are:   6   3   4   5   7   4   7  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 19 JUN is: 4.8E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
       the past 24 hours. Region 999 (S03E20) was quiet and stable.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Solar wind velocity observed
       at ace showed a steady decline during the past 24 hours, with day
       end speeds around 450 km/s.  The greater than 2 mev electron flux at
       geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on the first day (20 june), and is
       expected to be predominantly quiet for second and third days (20-21
       june).

            Event probabilities 20 jun-22 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 20 jun-22 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 19/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0999 S03E20   205  0010 Axx  01   01 Alpha
0998 S10W66   291                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 20 Jun to 22 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 19 JUNE, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **