[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 20 June
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Jun 21 22:31:44 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
20 JUNE, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 20 JUNE, 2008
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NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 172, 06/20/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0 90-AVG=070 SSN=011 BKI=2433 2233 BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=3432 1223 PAI=011
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:065,065,065;SESC:065,065,065 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=007,006 27DAY-KP=3112 2212 3321 1111
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 19 JUN 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 20 JUN 08 are: 3- 4- 3o 2o 1o 2- 2o 3-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 20 JUN 08 are: 12 22 15 7 4 6 7 12
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 20 JUN is: 3.7E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 999
(S02E06) has remained stable over the summary period.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet to unsettled levels. There
was an isolated period of active conditions observed from 0300 -
0600Z on 20 june, due to sustained southward bz and elevated wind
speeds. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominately quiet levels for the forecast period
(21 to 23 june).
Event probabilities 21 jun-23 jun
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 21 jun-23 jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 20/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0999 S02E06 206 0010 Hsx 01 01 Alpha
0998 S10W79 291 Plage
Regions Due to Return 21 Jun to 23 Jun
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 20 JUNE, 2008
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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