[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 20 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Jun 21 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  20 JUNE, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 20 JUNE, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 172, 06/20/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=011      BKI=2433 2233  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3432 1223  PAI=011
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:065,065,065;SESC:065,065,065 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,006   27DAY-KP=3112 2212 3321 1111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 19 JUN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 20 JUN 08 are: 3- 4- 3o 2o   1o 2- 2o 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 20 JUN 08 are:  12  22  15   7   4   6   7  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 20 JUN is: 3.7E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 999
       (S02E06) has remained stable over the summary period.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet to unsettled levels.  There
       was an isolated period of active conditions observed from 0300 -
       0600Z on 20 june, due to sustained southward bz and elevated wind
       speeds.  The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
       orbit reached high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at predominately quiet levels for the forecast period
       (21 to 23 june).

            Event probabilities 21 jun-23 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 21 jun-23 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 20/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0999 S02E06   206  0010 Hsx  01   01 Alpha
0998 S10W79   291                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 21 Jun to 23 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 20 JUNE, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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