[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 22 June

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  22 JUNE, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 22 JUNE, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 174, 06/22/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=011      BKI=2111 2122  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 1112  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:065,065,065;SESC:065,065,065 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,008/005,005,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,003   27DAY-KP=1112 1011 1010 0112
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 21 JUN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 22 JUN 08 are: 1+ 1o 0+ 0+   1o 1o 1- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 22 JUN 08 are:   5   4   2   2   4   4   3   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 22 JUN is: 6.0E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  No flares were
       observed during the period.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  Solar wind velocities gradually
       decayed from a peak of about 500 km/s at the beginning of the period
       to near 400 km/s at forecast issue time.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at mostly quiet levels for days one and two (23 and
       24 june).  Activity is expected to increase to quiet to unsettled
       conditions on day three (25 june) due to a recurrent coronal hole
       high speed stream that will rotate into a geoeffective position.

            Event probabilities 23 jun-25 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 23 jun-25 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/15
                        Minor storm           01/01/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/25
                        Minor storm           01/01/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 22/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0999 S02W22   207  0010 Hsx  01   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 23 Jun to 25 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 22 JUNE, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **