[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 26 June

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Jun 27 22:31:45 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                  26 JUNE, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 26 JUNE, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 178, 06/26/08
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=069        SSN=000      BKI=4424 4222  BAI=017
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4424 3232  PAI=016
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:065,065,065;SESC:065,065,065 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,007,005/010,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=011,008   27DAY-KP=4101 2342 1222 3222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 25 JUN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 26 JUN 08 are: 4+ 4- 2o 4o   3o 2o 3- 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 26 JUN 08 are:  32  22   7  27  15   7  12   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 26 JUN is: 4.8E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
       the past 24 hours and the solar disk continues to be spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels during the
       past 24 hours. Conditions were initially unsettled but increased to
       predominantly active levels from 0000-1500Z. A particularly notable
       substorm was observed between 0900-1200Z, which elevated some high
       latitude sites to storm level activity. Activity levels have
       declined to quiet to unsettled levels since 1500Z. Solar wind
       signatures showed an increase in velocity from initial values of
       about 500 km/s to about 650 km/s by 0800Z. Solar wind velocity
       continued to be elevated in the 600-650 km/s range through the
       remainder of the day. The solar wind observations were all
       consistent with a high speed stream from a favorably positioned
       coronal hole.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated
       active periods for the first day (27 june) while the solar wind
       velocity remains elevated. Conditions are expected to decline to
       quiet to unsettled levels for the second day (28 june) and
       predominantly quiet for the third day (29 june).

            Event probabilities 27 jun-29 jun

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 27 jun-29 jun

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                40/20/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                50/25/10
                        Minor storm           15/10/01
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 26/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0999 S02W74   206                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 27 Jun to 29 Jun
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 26 JUNE, 2008
---------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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