[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 29 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                29 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 29 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 060, 02/29/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=000      BKI=4354 4435  BAI=029
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4444 3545  PAI=027
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,008,005/015,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=019,012   27DAY-KP=4532 3233 3233 2332
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 28 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 28 FEB 08 are: 4o 3o 3- 3+   3o 4+ 4o 4o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 28 FEB 08 are:  27  15  12  18  15  32  27  27 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 29 FEB is: 1.1E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  A weak cme was observed
       at 29/0025Z from stereo and lasco imagery in the vicinity of region
       983, which is approaching the west limb at S06.  This activity does
       not appear to be earth directed.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm conditions. 
       Solar wind speed remained elevated due to the continued influence of
       a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at predominately unsettled levels, with isolated
       active periods for 01-02 march.  Conditions are expected to decrease
       to quiet to unsettled levels on 03 march as the high speed stream
       rotates out of a geoeffective position.

            Event probabilities 01 mar-03 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 mar-03 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/20/10
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 29/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0983 S06W94   344                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 01 Mar to 03 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 29 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **