[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 01 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 01 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 01 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 061, 03/01/08
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=000      BKI=5343 3332  BAI=019
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=5433 3332  PAI=019
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,008,005/015,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,006   27DAY-KP=3233 2332 3212 1111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 01 FEB 08 are: 5o 4- 3+ 3+   3- 3- 3- 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 01 FEB 08 are:  48  22  18  18  12  12  12   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 01 MAR is: 7.5E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
       the past 24 hours and the solar disk was spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from unsettled to minor storm levels.
       Minor storm levels predominated from 29/2100-01/0300Z due to a high
       speed stream with solar wind speeds in the 700-800 km/s range and an
       interval of mostly negative bz (values were mostly in the range from
       -6 nt to +2 nt). Unsettled to active levels followed through
       01/0900Z as bz slowly shifted to a less negative orientation.
       Activity was predominantly unsettled from 0900Z to the end of the
       period. Solar wind speeds remain elevated (700-800 km/s) as of
       forecast issue time but bz has moderated with values ranging between
       -3 to +3 nt. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
       orbit was high.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly unsettled with a chance for isolated active
       periods for the first day (02 march) due to persistent effects from
       the high speed stream. Conditions should decline to quiet to
       unsettled levels for the second day (03 march) as influence of the
       high speed stream is expected to wane. Conditions should be
       predominantly quiet by the third day (04 march).

            Event probabilities 02 mar-04 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 02 mar-04 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                50/30/15
                        Minor storm           20/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/30/15
                        Minor storm           35/20/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 01/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 02 Mar to 04 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 01 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **