[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 06 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 06 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 06 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 066, 03/06/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=012      BKI=1000 1200  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 1201  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.4   @ 1757UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 1758UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,012,012/005,015,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,002   27DAY-KP=2011 1012 1000 2011
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 05 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 06 MAR 08 are: 0+ 0o 0o 0o   1- 2- 0+ 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 06 MAR 08 are:   2   0   0   0   3   6   2   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 06 MAR is: 5.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    70.4,    71.0,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity remains at very low levels. Region 984
       (S08W80) is a small beta sunspot group rotating quietly around the
       west limb. The rest of the solar disk and limb is very quiet.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to continue
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit briefly exceeded high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels over the next
       three days. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 7 march. A
       recurring high speed coronal hole stream will rotate into a
       geoeffective position on 8 march, and produce occasional active to
       minor storm periods on 8 and 9 march.

            Event probabilities 07 mar-09 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 07 mar-09 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/40/40
                        Minor storm           05/20/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/10/10

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/50/50
                        Minor storm           10/25/25
                        Major-severe storm    05/15/15


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 06/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0984 S08W80   251  0030 Bxo  01   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 07 Mar to 09 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 06 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **