[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 07 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 07 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 07 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 067, 03/07/08
10.7 FLUX=071.2  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=0121 1100  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1110 1111  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A2.0   @ 1135UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 2023UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,020,010/015,020,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,018   27DAY-KP=1000 2011 0232 4533
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 06 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 07 MAR 08 are: 1+ 1- 1- 0+   1- 1- 1- 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 07 MAR 08 are:   5   3   3   2   3   3   3   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 07 MAR is: 8.4E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.2,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. Region 984 (S08W93)
       rotated quietly around the west limb. The visible disk is now
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to continue
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The period ended with solar wind
       speed near 320 km/s. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at
       geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomegnetic field is
       expected to range from quiet to minor storming. A high speed coronal
       hole stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position on 8
       march. Active to minor storm periods are expected on 8 and 9 march.
       Expect unsettled to active periods on 10 march.

            Event probabilities 08 mar-10 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 08 mar-10 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                40/50/30
                        Minor storm           20/25/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/15/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                50/50/40
                        Minor storm           25/30/20
                        Major-severe storm    15/20/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 07/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0984 S08W93   251                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 08 Mar to 10 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 07 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **