[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Mar 9 22:31:35 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 08 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 068, 03/08/08
10.7 FLUX=071.1  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=0022 4430  BAI=010
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0011 4431  PAI=011
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=020,010,010/020,010,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=018,017   27DAY-KP=0232 4533 4324 4322
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 08 MAR 08 are: 0+ 0o 1o 1+   4o 4o 3+ 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 MAR 08 are:   2   0   4   5  27  27  18   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 MAR is: 3.8E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.1,    70.9 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. The visible disk is
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to continue
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to range from quiet to active with isolated minor storm
       periods possible on day one (09 march). Isolated major storm periods
       are possible at high latitudes during this period. The increase in
       activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. 
       Quiet to active levels are expected on days two and three (10-11
       march) as the effects of the coronal hole high speed stream begin to
       wane.

            Event probabilities 09 mar-11 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 mar-11 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                50/30/30
                        Minor storm           25/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    15/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                55/35/35
                        Minor storm           25/20/20
                        Major-severe storm    15/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 08/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 09 Mar to 11 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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