[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 March
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Mar 9 22:31:35 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
08 MARCH, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 MARCH, 2008
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NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 068, 03/08/08
10.7 FLUX=071.1 90-AVG=074 SSN=000 BKI=0022 4430 BAI=010
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=0011 4431 PAI=011
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=020,010,010/020,010,010
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=018,017 27DAY-KP=0232 4533 4324 4322
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 MAR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 08 MAR 08 are: 0+ 0o 1o 1+ 4o 4o 3+ 1+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 MAR 08 are: 2 0 4 5 27 27 18 5
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 MAR is: 3.8E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: 71.0, 71.1, 70.9 sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. The visible disk is
spotless.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. The greater than 2 mev
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active with isolated minor storm
periods possible on day one (09 march). Isolated major storm periods
are possible at high latitudes during this period. The increase in
activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
Quiet to active levels are expected on days two and three (10-11
march) as the effects of the coronal hole high speed stream begin to
wane.
Event probabilities 09 mar-11 mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 mar-11 mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 50/30/30
Minor storm 25/15/15
Major-severe storm 15/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 55/35/35
Minor storm 25/20/20
Major-severe storm 15/05/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 08/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 09 Mar to 11 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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