[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 09 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Mar 10 22:31:35 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 09 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 09 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 069, 03/09/08
10.7 FLUX=069.9  90-AVG=074        SSN=000      BKI=4453 3323  BAI=021
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4553 3224  PAI=025
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,010/015,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=017,011   27DAY-KP=4324 4322 2333 3322
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 08 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 09 MAR 08 are: 4o 5o 5+ 3o   3o 2+ 2o 4- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 09 MAR 08 are:  27  48  56  15  15   9   7  22 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 09 MAR is: 1.8E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.9,    69.9,    70.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. The visible disk is
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to continue
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm levels due to the
       influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind
       at the ace spacecraft increased from 438 km/s to a maximum of 691
       km/s at 09/2023Z.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to range from quiet to active levels with isolated minor
       storm periods possible for the next three days (10 - 12 march), due
       to the coronal hole high speed stream.  Isolated major storm
       conditions are possible at high latitudes during this period.

            Event probabilities 10 mar-12 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 10 mar-12 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/30
                        Minor storm           15/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/40/40
                        Minor storm           20/20/20
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 09/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 10 Mar to 12 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 09 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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