[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Mar 11 22:31:35 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 10 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 10 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 070, 03/10/08
10.7 FLUX=069.4  90-AVG=074        SSN=012      BKI=4334 3233  BAI=017
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4423 4234  PAI=018
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0453UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0501UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,010/010,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=011,012   27DAY-KP=2333 3322 2232 4322
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 09 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 10 MAR 08 are: 4- 4- 2+ 3+   4- 2+ 3+ 4- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 10 MAR 08 are:  22  22   9  18  22   9  18  22 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 10 MAR is: 1.4E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.5,    69.4,    69.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. Region 985 (S10W83) was
       numbered today. It is currently a bxo group with an area of 90
       millionths.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to continue
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to the
       influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind
       at the ace spacecraft is elevated to approximately 700 km/s at
       forecast issue time.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to range from quiet to active levels with isolated minor
       storm periods possible for days one and two (11-12 march). Quiet to
       unsettled conditions are expected on day three (13 march) as the
       effects of the coronal hole high speed stream wane.

            Event probabilities 11 mar-13 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 11 mar-13 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/30
                        Minor storm           15/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/40/30
                        Minor storm           20/10/20
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 10/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0985 S10W83   201  0090 Bxo  05   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 11 Mar to 13 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 10 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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