[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 March
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Mar 11 22:31:35 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
10 MARCH, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 10 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 070, 03/10/08
10.7 FLUX=069.4 90-AVG=074 SSN=012 BKI=4334 3233 BAI=017
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=4423 4234 PAI=018
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0453UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0501UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,010/010,015,010
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=011,012 27DAY-KP=2333 3322 2232 4322
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 09 MAR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 10 MAR 08 are: 4- 4- 2+ 3+ 4- 2+ 3+ 4-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 10 MAR 08 are: 22 22 9 18 22 9 18 22
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 10 MAR is: 1.4E+08
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: 69.5, 69.4, 69.4 sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. Region 985 (S10W83) was
numbered today. It is currently a bxo group with an area of 90
millionths.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to the
influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind
at the ace spacecraft is elevated to approximately 700 km/s at
forecast issue time.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to active levels with isolated minor
storm periods possible for days one and two (11-12 march). Quiet to
unsettled conditions are expected on day three (13 march) as the
effects of the coronal hole high speed stream wane.
Event probabilities 11 mar-13 mar
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 11 mar-13 mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/30/30
Minor storm 15/15/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/40/30
Minor storm 20/10/20
Major-severe storm 10/10/10
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 10/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0985 S10W83 201 0090 Bxo 05 02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 11 Mar to 13 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 10 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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