[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 11 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 071, 03/11/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=3242 4211  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3142 4312  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B6.0   @ 0557UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 1428UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.2
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,008,008/015,010,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,015   27DAY-KP=2232 4322 2121 3154
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 11 MAR 08 are: 3o 1+ 4- 2+   4- 3o 1+ 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 MAR 08 are:  15   5  22   9  22  15   5   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 MAR is: 2.5E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. Region 985 (S10W96)
       produced a B5/sf flare at 11/0550Z. Region 985 has since rotated off
       the west limb.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels due to the
       influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind
       at the ace spacecraft was elevated to approximately 640 km/s at
       forecast issue time. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at
       geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to active, with isolated minor storm conditions
       at high latitudes on day one (12 march). The elevated activity is
       due to the coronal hole high speed stream. Days two and three (13-14
       march) are expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled.

            Event probabilities 12 mar-14 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 mar-14 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/30
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/30/20
                        Minor storm           10/20/10
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 11/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0985 S10W96   201                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 12 Mar to 14 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0983 S06    344


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **