[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 12 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Mar 13 22:31:34 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 12 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 12 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 072, 03/12/08
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=2443 1233  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2442 1142  PAI=014
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A5.4   @ 0738UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.1   @ 0751UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,005/010,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=015,010   27DAY-KP=2121 3154 2333 3211
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 11 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 12 MAR 08 are: 2- 4- 4- 2+   1o 1+ 4+ 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 12 MAR 08 are:   6  22  22   9   4   5  32   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 12 MAR is: 4.1E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible solar disk
       was spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active under the continued
       influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Solar wind
       speed at ace occasionally reached 700 km/s during the 24 hour
       period.  The greater than 2 mev electrons at geosynchronous orbit
       remained at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to remain at unsettled to occasionally active levels, with
       a chance for minor storms at high latitudes, during days 1 and 2
       (13-14 march), day 3 (15 mar) is expected to be mostly quiet as the
       high speed stream wanes.

            Event probabilities 13 mar-15 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 13 mar-15 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/30/10
                        Minor storm           10/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    04/04/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 12/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 13 Mar to 15 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0983 S06    344


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 12 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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