[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 13 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 13 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 13 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 073, 03/13/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=000      BKI=2334 3321  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2324 4332  PAI=014
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,010/008,005,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=010,009   27DAY-KP=2333 3211 3322 3221
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 12 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 13 MAR 08 are: 2+ 3- 2+ 4-   4o 3- 3- 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 13 MAR 08 are:   9  12   9  22  27  12  12   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 13 MAR is: 6.0E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  An emerging flux region was observ       ed at N10E03.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels under the
       continued influence of a high speed stream.  Solar wind speed
       measured at the ace satellite ranged from 685 km/s near 2300Z to 569
       km/s near 1700Z.  The greater than 2 mev electrons at geosynchronous
       orbit remained at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly unsettled on day 1 (14 march), quiet on day 2
       (15 march) in response to a slackening solar wind.  A return to
       unsettled levels is anticipated on day 3 (16 march) with the
       possibility of active periods at high latitudes.

            Event probabilities 14 mar-16 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 14 mar-16 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/10/30
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/10/40
                        Minor storm           10/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 13/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 14 Mar to 16 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0983 S06    344


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 13 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **