[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 14 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 074, 03/14/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=000      BKI=3233 2323  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2332 2433  PAI=013
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,010,010/005,010,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=009,005   27DAY-KP=3322 3221 1122 2111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 MAR 08 are: 2+ 3- 3- 2o   2- 4- 3o 3+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 MAR 08 are:   9  12  12   7   6  22  15  18 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 MAR is: 4.9E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels.  The
       greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at
       high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly quiet on day 1 (15 march) in response to a
       slackening of the solar wind indicated by the stereo behind
       spacecraft.  Quiet to unsettled levels return on days 2 and 3 (16-17
       march) as the solar wind speeds approach 600 km/s.

            Event probabilities 15 mar-17 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 mar-17 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/30/30
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/40/40
                        Minor storm           05/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 15 Mar to 17 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **