[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 15 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 15 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 15 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 075, 03/15/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=012      BKI=2324 3211  BAI=010
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3314 3211  PAI=011
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,010,008/010,010,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=005,012   27DAY-KP=1122 2111 1124 3333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 14 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 15 MAR 08 are: 3- 3- 1+ 4o   3o 2- 1o 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 15 MAR 08 are:  12  12   5  27  15   6   4   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 15 MAR is: 4.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. New region 986 (S04W41)
       was numbered today. It was initially a bxo beta magnetic class, but
       has since deteriorated to an alpha magnetic class.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active levels. The greater
       than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high
       levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to active on days one and two (16-17 march) due
       to the continued influence of a coronal hole high speed stream.
       Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on day three (18 march)
       as the effects of the high speed stream subside.

            Event probabilities 16 mar-18 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 16 mar-18 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/20
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/40/25
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 15/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0986 S04W41   094  0020 Bxo  03   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 16 Mar to 18 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 15 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **