[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 17 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 17 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 17 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 077, 03/17/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=011      BKI=2111 1221  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2000 1221  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,007   27DAY-KP=3332 3222 2331 1111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 16 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 17 MAR 08 are: 2+ 0+ 0o 0+   1o 2- 2- 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 17 MAR 08 are:   9   2   0   2   4   6   6   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 17 MAR is: 4.0E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  Region 986
       (S04W71) has decayed to a single alpha spot.  A slow-moving coronal
       mass ejection was observed off the west limb at 17/0830Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at mostly quiet levels throughout the forecast period
       (18 - 20 march).  The cme observed today is not expected to be
       geoeffective.

            Event probabilities 18 mar-20 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 18 mar-20 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 17/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0986 S04W71   098  0010 Axx  00   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 18 Mar to 20 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 17 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **