[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 18 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 18 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 18 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 078, 03/18/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=000      BKI=3422 2211  BAI=009
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3411 1101  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.4   @ 1436UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.2   @ 1444UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,006   27DAY-KP=2331 1111 0012 3211
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 17 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 18 MAR 08 are: 3o 4- 1+ 1o   1+ 1o 0o 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 18 MAR 08 are:  15  22   5   4   5   4   0   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 18 MAR is: 1.4E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
       the past 24 hours.  Region 986 (S04W84) has decayed to a spotless
       plage region.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low for the next three days (19 - 21 march).

            The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet to unsettled. There was
       a single active period from 0300-0600Z. The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the next three days (19 - 21 march).

            Event probabilities 19 mar-21 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 19 mar-21 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 18/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0986 S04W84   098                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 19 Mar to 21 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0984 S05    253


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 18 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **