[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 22 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Mar 23 22:31:33 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 22 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 22 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 082, 03/22/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=000      BKI=1022 2222  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1011 1113  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,010/005,005,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,003   27DAY-KP=1001 1121 1112 0100
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 21 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 22 MAR 08 are: 1+ 0+ 1o 1+   1- 1o 1- 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 22 MAR 08 are:   5   2   4   5   3   4   3  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 22 MAR is: 4.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible solar disk
       remained spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for days one and two (23 march-24 march).  A
       coronal hole high speed stream is expected to begin to become
       geoeffective on day three (25 march) and unsettled to active
       conditions are anticipated.

            Event probabilities 23 mar-25 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 23 mar-25 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/20
                        Minor storm           05/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    02/02/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/25
                        Minor storm           05/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 22/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 23 Mar to 25 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0985 S10    201


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 22 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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