[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 23 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 23 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 23 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 083, 03/23/08
10.7 FLUX=072.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=014      BKI=3332 2211  BAI=009
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3332 1111  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B1.3   @ 2345UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.1   @ 2108UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:072,072,072;SESC:072,072,072 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,010,020/008,015,020
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,003   27DAY-KP=1112 0100 0110 2101
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 22 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 23 MAR 08 are: 3+ 3- 3o 2o   1+ 1+ 1- 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 23 MAR 08 are:  18  12  15   7   5   5   3   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 23 MAR is: 2.8E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  New region 987 (S08E50)
       was numbered today.  It grew into a cso type with four spots and a
       beta magnetic configuration before decaying to a plage region.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be
       predominantly very low.  There is a slight chance of a C-class flare
       from region 987.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (24 march).  Unsettled to
       active conditions are expected on days 2 and 3 (25-26 march),
       occasionally reaching minor to major storm levels at high latitudes,
       in response to a geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream.

            Event probabilities 24 mar-26 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 24 mar-26 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/15/25
                        Minor storm           05/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/10

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/25/40
                        Minor storm           05/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/10/15


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 23/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0987 S08E50   258  0040 Cso  03   04 Beta
Regions Due to Return 24 Mar to 26 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0985 S10    201


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 23 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **