[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 24 March
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Mar 25 22:31:37 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
24 MARCH, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 24 MARCH, 2008
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!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 084, 03/24/08
10.7 FLUX=079.0 90-AVG=072 SSN=035 BKI=0211 2201 BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A5.1 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1110 1111 PAI=004
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B5.1 @ 0244UT XRAY-MIN= A3.7 @ 0227UT XRAY-AVG= A8.9
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,085;SESC:080,080,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,020,020/010,025,025
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=003,012 27DAY-KP=0110 2101 2201 2353
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 23 MAR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 24 MAR 08 are: 1- 1+ 1- 0+ 1+ 1o 1+ 1o
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 24 MAR 08 are: 3 5 3 2 5 4 5 4
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 24 MAR is: 3.0E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 987
(S08E36) has grown in area and spot number over the summary period.
New region 988 (S09E59) was numbered today. Both of these regions
are d-type spot groups with beta magnetic configurations. Multiple
B-class events have occurred from these regions, as well as a region
that is on the east limb.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. There is a chance for isolated C-class
flares from regions 987 and 988.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled levels on day one (25
march). On days two and three (26 and 27 march) an increase to
unsettled to active levels is expected due to a coronal hole high
speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position. During this
period isolated minor storm levels at middle latitudes and major
storm conditions at high latitudes are possible.
Event probabilities 25 mar-27 mar
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 25 mar-27 mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/30/30
Minor storm 05/15/15
Major-severe storm 01/10/10
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/35/35
Minor storm 05/20/20
Major-severe storm 05/15/15
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 24/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0987 S08E36 259 0110 Dai 06 09 Beta
0988 S09E59 236 0100 Dsi 07 06 Beta
Regions Due to Return 25 Mar to 27 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
0985 S10 201
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 24 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
0901 0902 0904 100
** End of Daily Report **
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