[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 25 March

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 25 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 25 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 085, 03/25/08
10.7 FLUX=089.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=052      BKI=1101 2222  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A8.1     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0001 1222  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=01:029
 XRAY-MAX= M1.7   @ 1855UT    XRAY-MIN= A7.0   @ 1003UT   XRAY-AVG= B4.9
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:090,095,095;SESC:090,095,095 BAI/PAI-FCST=020,020,015/020,025,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,022   27DAY-KP=2201 2353 4333 3444
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 24 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 25 MAR 08 are: 0+ 0o 0o 1-   1o 2- 2o 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 25 MAR 08 are:   2   0   0   3   4   6   7   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 25 MAR is: 6.0E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was moderate.  New region 989 (S10E77)
       was numbered today and produced a M1/1f at 25/1856Z with an
       associated 290 sfu tenflare at 25/1851Z and a type ii radio sweep,
       with a speed of 1278 km/s.  Lasco imagery also observed a cme off
       the east limb associated with this event which was first observed in
       C2 at 25/1941Z.  This region is too close to the limb to determine
       its magnetic configuration.  Region 987 (S08E23) and 988 (S09E47)
       both remain beta groups and have grown in white light area coverage
       and sunspot count.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be low
       to moderate.  Region 989 is capable of producing an isolated M-class
       event.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2Mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at unsettled to active levels with isolated minor
       storm conditions for 26-27 march due to a recurrent coronal hole
       high speed stream.  Isolated major storm conditions are possible at
       high latitudes during this period.  Conditions should be unsettled
       with isolated active levels for 28 march.

            Event probabilities 26 mar-28 mar

                             Class M    50/50/50
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 26 mar-28 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/25
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/35/30
                        Minor storm           20/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    15/15/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 25/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0987 S08E23   259  0130 Dac  08   10 Beta
0988 S09E47   235  0200 Dao  08   11 Beta
0989 S10E77   205  0050 Hax  02   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 26 Mar to 28 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 25 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 1836 1856 1913  0989 S13E78 M1.7  1f 99     290    II              


**  End of Daily Report  **