[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 26 March
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Mar 27 22:31:36 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
26 MARCH, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 26 MARCH, 2008
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!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 086, 03/26/08
10.7 FLUX=082.0 90-AVG=072 SSN=063 BKI=1254 5444 BAI=026
BGND-XRAY=A5.2 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1144 5454 PAI=027
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B7.6 @ 2128UT XRAY-MIN= A4.4 @ 2322UT XRAY-AVG= A9.4
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:090,095,095;SESC:090,095,095 BAI/PAI-FCST=020,015,010/025,015,010
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=022,027 27DAY-KP=4333 3444 4444 3545
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 25 MAR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 26 MAR 08 are: 1o 1+ 4+ 4o 5o 4+ 5- 4o
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 26 MAR 08 are: 4 5 32 27 48 32 39 27
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 26 MAR is: 6.6E+06
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. Region 987 (S08E08) and
988 (S08E33) have remained fairly stable and both retain their beta
magnetic configuration. Region 989 (S10E62) has also been stable,
however, it remains too close to the limb for determining the
magnetic classification.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 987, 988, and 989 are capable of producing
C-class flares. An M-class event is possible from region 989.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions due to
the influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. Solar
wind observations at the ace spacecraft increased from an average
around 370 km/s to a maximum of 602 at 26/1429Z.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels with isolated minor
storm conditions for 27 march due to the coronal hole high speed
stream. Isolated periods of major storm conditions are possible at
high latitudes. Unsettled to isolated active conditions are
expected for 28-29 march.
Event probabilities 27 mar-29 mar
Class M 50/50/50
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 27 mar-29 mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/25/15
Minor storm 15/10/05
Major-severe storm 10/05/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/30/20
Minor storm 20/15/10
Major-severe storm 15/10/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 26/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0987 S08E09 259 0170 Dao 08 15 Beta
0988 S09E34 234 0300 Dso 10 15 Beta
0989 S12E63 205 0050 Dao 04 03 Beta
Regions Due to Return 27 Mar to 29 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 26 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
1625 1625 1625 100
** End of Daily Report **
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