[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 26 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Mar 27 22:31:36 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 26 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 26 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 086, 03/26/08
10.7 FLUX=082.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=063      BKI=1254 5444  BAI=026
BGND-XRAY=A5.2     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1144 5454  PAI=027
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B7.6   @ 2128UT    XRAY-MIN= A4.4   @ 2322UT   XRAY-AVG= A9.4
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:090,095,095;SESC:090,095,095 BAI/PAI-FCST=020,015,010/025,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=022,027   27DAY-KP=4333 3444 4444 3545
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 25 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 26 MAR 08 are: 1o 1+ 4+ 4o   5o 4+ 5- 4o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 26 MAR 08 are:   4   5  32  27  48  32  39  27 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 26 MAR is: 6.6E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 987 (S08E08) and
       988 (S08E33) have remained fairly stable and both retain their beta
       magnetic configuration.  Region 989 (S10E62) has also been stable,
       however, it remains too close to the limb for determining the
       magnetic classification.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  Region 987, 988, and 989 are capable of producing
       C-class flares.  An M-class event is possible from region 989.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions due to
       the influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Solar
       wind observations at the ace spacecraft increased from an average
       around 370 km/s to a maximum of 602 at 26/1429Z.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at unsettled to active levels with isolated minor
       storm conditions for 27 march due to the coronal hole high speed
       stream.  Isolated periods of major storm conditions are possible at
       high latitudes.  Unsettled to isolated active conditions are
       expected for 28-29 march.

            Event probabilities 27 mar-29 mar

                             Class M    50/50/50
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 27 mar-29 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/25/15
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/30/20
                        Minor storm           20/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    15/10/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 26/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0987 S08E09   259  0170 Dao  08   15 Beta
0988 S09E34   234  0300 Dso  10   15 Beta
0989 S12E63   205  0050 Dao  04   03 Beta
Regions Due to Return 27 Mar to 29 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 26 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 1625 1625 1625                       100                           


**  End of Daily Report  **


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