[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 27 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Mar 28 22:31:35 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 27 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 27 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 087, 03/27/08
10.7 FLUX=085.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=057      BKI=5443 2334  BAI=022
BGND-XRAY=A4.2     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=6543 3245  PAI=031
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B4.9   @ 1635UT    XRAY-MIN= A3.6   @ 2359UT   XRAY-AVG= A6.3
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,085;SESC:085,085,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,010,008/015,010,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=027,019   27DAY-KP=4444 3545 5433 3332
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 26 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 27 MAR 08 are: 6- 5o 4- 3-   3- 2+ 4o 5o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 27 MAR 08 are:  67  48  22  12  12   9  27  48 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 27 MAR is: 5.7E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region's 987 (S08W05),
       988 (S08E19), and 989 (S12E49) are all beta type groups and have not
       produced any significant events during the last 24 hour period.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  There is a chance for a C-class flare from any of the
       three numbered regions on the disk, and a very slight chance for an
       M-class event.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to major storm conditions due
       to the continued influence of the recurrent coronal hole high speed
       stream.  Solar wind speeds remain in excess of 650 km/s.  The
       greater than 2Mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high
       levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be predominately unsettled with isolated periods of
       active conditions for 28-29 march.  Conditions are expected to
       decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on 30 march.

            Event probabilities 28 mar-30 mar

                             Class M    15/15/15
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 28 mar-30 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/20/20
                        Minor storm           15/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 27/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0987 S07W05   260  0170 Dai  08   11 Beta
0988 S09E20   235  0280 Dsi  10   14 Beta
0989 S13E48   207  0060 Dso  04   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 28 Mar to 30 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 27 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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