[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 28 March
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Mar 29 22:31:34 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
28 MARCH, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 28 MARCH, 2008
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NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was very high today.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 088, 03/28/08
10.7 FLUX=083.0 90-AVG=073 SSN=063 BKI=5444 4333 BAI=025
BGND-XRAY=A3.7 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=5444 4333 PAI=021
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B1.7 @ 1203UT XRAY-MIN= A3.0 @ 0326UT XRAY-AVG= A4.8
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:085,085,080;SESC:085,085,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,008,005/010,010,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=019,008 27DAY-KP=5433 3332 2232 2212
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 27 MAR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 28 MAR 08 are: 5- 4o 4- 4- 4- 3o 3- 3-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 28 MAR 08 are: 39 27 22 22 22 15 12 12
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 28 MAR is: 1.2E+09
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. Region 987 (S08W18), 988
(S08E07), and 989 (S12E36) have shown little change and retain their
beta magnetic configuration.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance of a C-class event from any of the
three numbered regions on the disk.
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to minor storm levels due to
the continued influence of the recurrent coronal hole high speed
stream. Solar wind speed at the ace spacecraft is averaging around
640 km/s. The greater than 2Mev electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit was at high levels today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with isolated active conditions for 29-30
march. Predominately quiet levels are expected for 31 march as the
high speed stream rotates out of a geoeffective position.
Event probabilities 29 mar-31 mar
Class M 10/10/10
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 29 mar-31 mar
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/10
Minor storm 10/10/05
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 28/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0987 S08W18 260 0130 Dsi 08 14 Beta
0988 S08E07 235 0230 Eai 12 14 Beta
0989 S12E36 206 0050 Dao 05 05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 29 Mar to 31 Mar
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 28 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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